Wednesday, January 09, 2008

David Schirmer’s Stock Market Indices Report - January 7, 2008




Welcome to my Stock Market Indices Report. This report is in no way indicative of what individual stocks will do but rather a general ‘crystal ball’ of overall market movements. Individual stocks often do not move in the same direction or the same magnitude as an index. To know what stocks to buy or what to sell you must do your own study and research. Please read the disclaimer below.

The Australian All Ordinaries Index is in week 21 of its 22-week Primary Cycle. I wrote in my last report that “A critical support level is 6182 points, which is 50% of the rise August 16, 2007 low (5490 points) to the November 1, 2007 high (6873 points). If the market bounces off 6182 it will mean one last push up before a much larger decline.” It bounced off that nicely and recovered a couple of hundred points to last weeks peak of 6462.

This level of 6462 is a 50% of the decline from the peak of 11/12/07 to the trough on 18/12/07 and also around the previous cycle peak which gives more weight to further declines. We are in the orb period for the primary cycle low to occur so this may be the last decline before the start of the next primary cycle. Again watch for support at 6182 and if the support fails we would expect the fall to continue down to around 6009.

There are no significant turning dates during the week and the next date for any significance is this coming weekend.

The weakness that is being displayed in our market at the moment is common amongst the world indices, which strengthens my bias to this being the start of 18-year cycle decline. This decline I expect will last for a minimum of 18 months and 2147 points.

Support levels for the XAO this week are 6242, 6182, 6009, 5836, 5664 and 5491 Points where the All Ordinaries could experience resistance advancing higher are at 6469, 6798, 6873 and 6964.


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Yours in abundance,

David Schirmer

P.S. Check out http://davidschirmer.blogspot.com/ for insights to my Secret Journey.


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